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๐Ÿ‚ 2026 First Frost Dates for Phoenix, Arizona 85022

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Dec 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Dec 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Phoenix, AZ are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance Nov 25
20% chance Dec 1
30% chance Dec 5
40% chance Dec 8
50% chance Dec 11
60% chance Dec 15
70% chance Dec 18
80% chance Dec 23
90% chance Dec 29
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance Dec 5
20% chance Dec 11
30% chance Dec 15
40% chance Dec 20
50% chance Dec 25
60% chance Dec 29
70% chance Jan 2
80% chance Jan 9
90% chance Jan 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance Dec 14
20% chance Dec 27
30% chance Dec 31
40% chance Jan 3
50% chance Jan 7
60% chance Jan 11
70% chance Jan 17
80% chance Jan 23
90% chance Feb 1
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance rarely
20% chance rarely
30% chance rarely
40% chance rarely
50% chance rarely
60% chance rarely
70% chance rarely
80% chance rarely
90% chance rarely
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance rarely
20% chance rarely
30% chance rarely
40% chance rarely
50% chance rarely
60% chance rarely
70% chance rarely
80% chance rarely
90% chance rarely
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chance rarely
20% chance rarely
30% chance rarely
40% chance rarely
50% chance rarely
60% chance rarely
70% chance rarely
80% chance rarely
90% chance rarely

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: PHOENIX DEER VALLEY MUNI AP (USW00003184:frost)