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🍂 First Frost Dates for Mansfield, Texas 76063

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 4. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 14. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Mansfield, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 7
50% chanceNov 10
60% chanceNov 14
70% chanceNov 17
80% chanceNov 21
90% chanceNov 26
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 3
20% chanceNov 9
30% chanceNov 14
40% chanceNov 18
50% chanceNov 22
60% chanceNov 25
70% chanceNov 30
80% chanceDec 3
90% chanceDec 9
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 14
20% chanceNov 21
30% chanceNov 27
40% chanceDec 1
50% chanceDec 4
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 12
80% chanceDec 18
90% chanceDec 25
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 27
20% chanceDec 4
30% chanceDec 8
40% chanceDec 13
50% chanceDec 19
60% chanceDec 24
70% chanceDec 29
80% chanceJan 3
90% chanceJan 14
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 7
20% chanceDec 13
30% chanceDec 20
40% chanceDec 26
50% chanceDec 30
60% chanceJan 3
70% chanceJan 9
80% chanceJan 17
90% chanceJan 29
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 12
20% chanceDec 18
30% chanceDec 25
40% chanceDec 30
50% chanceJan 2
60% chanceJan 7
70% chanceJan 14
80% chanceJan 23
90% chanceFeb 1

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ARLINGTON MUNI AP (USW00053907)

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