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🍂 2026 First Frost Dates for Spring, Texas 77388

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 11. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 25. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Spring, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chance Nov 2
20% chance Nov 7
30% chance Nov 11
40% chance Nov 15
50% chance Nov 19
60% chance Nov 22
70% chance Nov 27
80% chance Dec 2
90% chance Dec 8
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chance Nov 13
20% chance Nov 20
30% chance Nov 25
40% chance Nov 30
50% chance Dec 3
60% chance Dec 7
70% chance Dec 15
80% chance Dec 25
90% chance Jan 5
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chance Dec 2
20% chance Dec 7
30% chance Dec 15
40% chance Dec 22
50% chance Dec 29
60% chance Jan 3
70% chance Jan 8
80% chance Jan 16
90% chance Feb 1
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chance Dec 11
20% chance Dec 24
30% chance Jan 1
40% chance Jan 3
50% chance Jan 6
60% chance Jan 11
70% chance Jan 17
80% chance Jan 31
90% chance Feb 6
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chance rarely
20% chance rarely
30% chance rarely
40% chance rarely
50% chance rarely
60% chance rarely
70% chance rarely
80% chance rarely
90% chance rarely
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chance rarely
20% chance rarely
30% chance rarely
40% chance rarely
50% chance rarely
60% chance rarely
70% chance rarely
80% chance rarely
90% chance rarely

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: HOUSTON HOOKS MEM AP (USW00053910:frost)

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