๐Ÿ‚ First Frost Dates for Hot Springs National Park, Arkansas 71913

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 25. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Hot Springs National Park, AR are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 14
20% chanceOct 21
30% chanceOct 25
40% chanceOct 29
50% chanceNov 1
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 12
90% chanceNov 18
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 25
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 5
40% chanceNov 9
50% chanceNov 13
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 21
80% chanceNov 25
90% chanceDec 1
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 4
20% chanceNov 12
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 23
50% chanceNov 28
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 4
80% chanceDec 9
90% chanceDec 16
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 29
30% chanceDec 2
40% chanceDec 6
50% chanceDec 10
60% chanceDec 15
70% chanceDec 21
80% chanceDec 27
90% chanceJan 3
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceDec 2
20% chanceDec 8
30% chanceDec 13
40% chanceDec 19
50% chanceDec 24
60% chanceDec 29
70% chanceJan 2
80% chanceJan 9
90% chanceJan 21
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceDec 10
20% chanceDec 15
30% chanceDec 22
40% chanceDec 27
50% chanceDec 31
60% chanceJan 5
70% chanceJan 11
80% chanceJan 19
90% chanceFeb 1

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: HOT SPRINGS 1 NNE (USC00033466)