🍂 2026 First Frost Dates for Saint Paul, Minnesota 55124
The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 23. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)
First frost date probabilities for Saint Paul, MN are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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What is a First Frost Date?
The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!
How to use the First Frost Date?
Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.
First Frost Date Probabilities
| Probability of frost (36°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Sep 16 |
| 20% chance | Sep 20 |
| 30% chance | Sep 23 |
| 40% chance | Sep 26 |
| 50% chance | Sep 28 |
| 60% chance | Oct 1 |
| 70% chance | Oct 3 |
| 80% chance | Oct 6 |
| 90% chance | Oct 10 |
| Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Sep 22 |
| 20% chance | Sep 28 |
| 30% chance | Oct 1 |
| 40% chance | Oct 3 |
| 50% chance | Oct 5 |
| 60% chance | Oct 9 |
| 70% chance | Oct 12 |
| 80% chance | Oct 15 |
| 90% chance | Oct 19 |
| Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Oct 2 |
| 20% chance | Oct 6 |
| 30% chance | Oct 10 |
| 40% chance | Oct 14 |
| 50% chance | Oct 17 |
| 60% chance | Oct 20 |
| 70% chance | Oct 23 |
| 80% chance | Oct 26 |
| 90% chance | Oct 31 |
| Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Oct 12 |
| 20% chance | Oct 18 |
| 30% chance | Oct 21 |
| 40% chance | Oct 24 |
| 50% chance | Oct 27 |
| 60% chance | Oct 29 |
| 70% chance | Nov 1 |
| 80% chance | Nov 3 |
| 90% chance | Nov 7 |
| Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Oct 23 |
| 20% chance | Oct 29 |
| 30% chance | Nov 1 |
| 40% chance | Nov 2 |
| 50% chance | Nov 4 |
| 60% chance | Nov 7 |
| 70% chance | Nov 9 |
| 80% chance | Nov 13 |
| 90% chance | Nov 18 |
| Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Nov 1 |
| 20% chance | Nov 4 |
| 30% chance | Nov 7 |
| 40% chance | Nov 9 |
| 50% chance | Nov 12 |
| 60% chance | Nov 15 |
| 70% chance | Nov 18 |
| 80% chance | Nov 21 |
| 90% chance | Nov 26 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ROSEMOUNT RSCH & OUTREACH CTR (USC00217107:frost)