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🍂 First Frost Dates for Bad Axe, Michigan 48413

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 27. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 6. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Bad Axe, MI are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 17
20% chanceSep 23
30% chanceSep 27
40% chanceSep 29
50% chanceOct 1
60% chanceOct 3
70% chanceOct 6
80% chanceOct 9
90% chanceOct 15
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 3
30% chanceOct 6
40% chanceOct 9
50% chanceOct 13
60% chanceOct 17
70% chanceOct 20
80% chanceOct 25
90% chanceNov 1
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 9
20% chanceOct 16
30% chanceOct 20
40% chanceOct 24
50% chanceOct 28
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 3
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 12
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 7
50% chanceNov 11
60% chanceNov 15
70% chanceNov 18
80% chanceNov 22
90% chanceNov 27
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 14
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 22
50% chanceNov 25
60% chanceNov 28
70% chanceDec 1
80% chanceDec 5
90% chanceDec 11
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 25
30% chanceNov 29
40% chanceDec 1
50% chanceDec 5
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 12
80% chanceDec 16
90% chanceDec 22

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: BAD AXE (USC00200417)

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