The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 18. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Sep 30. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also ๐ท Last Spring Frost Dates.)
First frost date probabilities for Hamburg, NY are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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๐ Growing Under Cover: Techniques for a More Productive, Weather-Resistant, Pest-Free Vegetable Garden
The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโand start planning your spring garden!
Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.
Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Sep 5 |
20% chance | Sep 12 |
30% chance | Sep 18 |
40% chance | Sep 21 |
50% chance | Sep 24 |
60% chance | Sep 27 |
70% chance | Sep 29 |
80% chance | Oct 2 |
90% chance | Oct 6 |
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Sep 21 |
20% chance | Sep 27 |
30% chance | Sep 30 |
40% chance | Oct 2 |
50% chance | Oct 5 |
60% chance | Oct 8 |
70% chance | Oct 11 |
80% chance | Oct 15 |
90% chance | Oct 22 |
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 4 |
20% chance | Oct 9 |
30% chance | Oct 14 |
40% chance | Oct 17 |
50% chance | Oct 21 |
60% chance | Oct 24 |
70% chance | Oct 28 |
80% chance | Nov 1 |
90% chance | Nov 5 |
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 18 |
20% chance | Oct 25 |
30% chance | Oct 29 |
40% chance | Nov 1 |
50% chance | Nov 4 |
60% chance | Nov 6 |
70% chance | Nov 10 |
80% chance | Nov 14 |
90% chance | Nov 19 |
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Nov 2 |
20% chance | Nov 6 |
30% chance | Nov 10 |
40% chance | Nov 13 |
50% chance | Nov 16 |
60% chance | Nov 19 |
70% chance | Nov 22 |
80% chance | Nov 26 |
90% chance | Dec 1 |
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Nov 10 |
20% chance | Nov 16 |
30% chance | Nov 19 |
40% chance | Nov 23 |
50% chance | Nov 27 |
60% chance | Nov 30 |
70% chance | Dec 2 |
80% chance | Dec 6 |
90% chance | Dec 12 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: COLDEN 1 N (USC00301623)