๐Ÿ‚ First Frost Dates for Watertown, New York 13601

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 25. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Watertown, NY are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceSep 18
20% chanceSep 22
30% chanceSep 25
40% chanceSep 28
50% chanceSep 30
60% chanceOct 2
70% chanceOct 5
80% chanceOct 8
90% chanceOct 12
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 2
30% chanceOct 5
40% chanceOct 7
50% chanceOct 10
60% chanceOct 13
70% chanceOct 16
80% chanceOct 19
90% chanceOct 24
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 12
30% chanceOct 16
40% chanceOct 19
50% chanceOct 22
60% chanceOct 25
70% chanceOct 27
80% chanceOct 31
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 19
20% chanceOct 25
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceOct 31
50% chanceNov 2
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 11
90% chanceNov 14
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 1
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 8
40% chanceNov 11
50% chanceNov 13
60% chanceNov 16
70% chanceNov 19
80% chanceNov 22
90% chanceNov 27
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 11
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 22
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 27
70% chanceNov 29
80% chanceDec 2
90% chanceDec 7

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: WATERTOWN (USC00309000)