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🍂 First Frost Dates for Saratoga Springs, New York 12866

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 20. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Saratoga Springs, NY are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 12
20% chanceSep 17
30% chanceSep 20
40% chanceSep 23
50% chanceSep 25
60% chanceSep 27
70% chanceSep 30
80% chanceOct 2
90% chanceOct 5
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 23
20% chanceSep 28
30% chanceOct 1
40% chanceOct 2
50% chanceOct 4
60% chanceOct 6
70% chanceOct 9
80% chanceOct 12
90% chanceOct 16
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 2
20% chanceOct 6
30% chanceOct 9
40% chanceOct 12
50% chanceOct 15
60% chanceOct 17
70% chanceOct 20
80% chanceOct 24
90% chanceOct 31
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 13
20% chanceOct 19
30% chanceOct 22
40% chanceOct 26
50% chanceOct 29
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 3
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 12
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 7
50% chanceNov 10
60% chanceNov 13
70% chanceNov 16
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 24
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 20
50% chanceNov 23
60% chanceNov 26
70% chanceNov 29
80% chanceDec 2
90% chanceDec 7

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: SARATOGA SPRINGS 4 SW (USC00307484)

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