🍂 2026 First Frost Dates for New York, New York 10027
The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 3. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 14. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)
First frost date probabilities for New York, NY are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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What is a First Frost Date?
The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!
How to use the First Frost Date?
Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.
First Frost Date Probabilities
| Probability of frost (36°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Oct 27 |
| 20% chance | Nov 1 |
| 30% chance | Nov 3 |
| 40% chance | Nov 5 |
| 50% chance | Nov 8 |
| 60% chance | Nov 11 |
| 70% chance | Nov 14 |
| 80% chance | Nov 18 |
| 90% chance | Nov 23 |
| Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Nov 6 |
| 20% chance | Nov 10 |
| 30% chance | Nov 14 |
| 40% chance | Nov 17 |
| 50% chance | Nov 20 |
| 60% chance | Nov 23 |
| 70% chance | Nov 27 |
| 80% chance | Dec 1 |
| 90% chance | Dec 6 |
| Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Nov 15 |
| 20% chance | Nov 21 |
| 30% chance | Nov 24 |
| 40% chance | Nov 28 |
| 50% chance | Dec 1 |
| 60% chance | Dec 4 |
| 70% chance | Dec 7 |
| 80% chance | Dec 11 |
| 90% chance | Dec 16 |
| Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Nov 25 |
| 20% chance | Dec 1 |
| 30% chance | Dec 4 |
| 40% chance | Dec 9 |
| 50% chance | Dec 12 |
| 60% chance | Dec 16 |
| 70% chance | Dec 20 |
| 80% chance | Dec 25 |
| 90% chance | Jan 1 |
| Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Dec 5 |
| 20% chance | Dec 12 |
| 30% chance | Dec 18 |
| 40% chance | Dec 22 |
| 50% chance | Dec 26 |
| 60% chance | Dec 30 |
| 70% chance | Jan 2 |
| 80% chance | Jan 7 |
| 90% chance | Jan 15 |
| Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before... | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Dec 16 |
| 20% chance | Dec 23 |
| 30% chance | Dec 29 |
| 40% chance | Jan 2 |
| 50% chance | Jan 5 |
| 60% chance | Jan 8 |
| 70% chance | Jan 14 |
| 80% chance | Jan 20 |
| 90% chance | Jan 29 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: NEW YORK CNTRL PK TWR (USW00094728:frost)