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🍂 First Frost Dates for Elk Creek, California 95939

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 22. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Elk Creek, CA are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 11
20% chanceOct 18
30% chanceOct 22
40% chanceOct 26
50% chanceOct 29
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 4
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 12
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 29
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 5
40% chanceNov 8
50% chanceNov 11
60% chanceNov 14
70% chanceNov 18
80% chanceNov 23
90% chanceNov 30
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 14
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 24
50% chanceNov 28
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 5
80% chanceDec 10
90% chanceDec 21
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 29
30% chanceDec 3
40% chanceDec 8
50% chanceDec 13
60% chanceDec 19
70% chanceDec 26
80% chanceJan 3
90% chanceJan 16
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 2
20% chanceDec 10
30% chanceDec 15
40% chanceDec 22
50% chanceDec 26
60% chanceDec 31
70% chanceJan 4
80% chanceJan 13
90% chanceJan 28
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 9
20% chanceDec 13
30% chanceDec 19
40% chanceDec 24
50% chanceDec 26
60% chanceDec 30
70% chanceJan 1
80% chanceJan 10
90% chanceJan 26

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: STONY GORGE RSVR (USC00048587)

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