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🍂 First Frost Dates for Lake Elsinore, California 92530

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Lake Elsinore, CA are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 24
20% chanceOct 29
30% chanceNov 1
40% chanceNov 4
50% chanceNov 7
60% chanceNov 10
70% chanceNov 13
80% chanceNov 16
90% chanceNov 20
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 10
30% chanceNov 15
40% chanceNov 18
50% chanceNov 21
60% chanceNov 25
70% chanceNov 28
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 6
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 27
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 4
50% chanceDec 7
60% chanceDec 10
70% chanceDec 14
80% chanceDec 19
90% chanceDec 26
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 3
20% chanceDec 10
30% chanceDec 14
40% chanceDec 19
50% chanceDec 23
60% chanceDec 27
70% chanceJan 1
80% chanceJan 7
90% chanceJan 27
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 10
20% chanceDec 14
30% chanceDec 20
40% chanceDec 24
50% chanceDec 28
60% chanceDec 31
70% chanceJan 3
80% chanceJan 7
90% chanceJan 22
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chancerarely
20% chancerarely
30% chancerarely
40% chancerarely
50% chancerarely
60% chancerarely
70% chancerarely
80% chancerarely
90% chancerarely

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: SUN CITY (USC00048655)

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