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🍂 First Frost Dates for Tucumcari, New Mexico 88401

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 18. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Tucumcari, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 4
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 11
50% chanceOct 13
60% chanceOct 16
70% chanceOct 19
80% chanceOct 21
90% chanceOct 25
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 8
20% chanceOct 14
30% chanceOct 18
40% chanceOct 21
50% chanceOct 24
60% chanceOct 26
70% chanceOct 29
80% chanceOct 31
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 20
20% chanceOct 25
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceOct 31
50% chanceNov 2
60% chanceNov 5
70% chanceNov 8
80% chanceNov 12
90% chanceNov 16
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 30
20% chanceNov 3
30% chanceNov 7
40% chanceNov 11
50% chanceNov 14
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 20
80% chanceNov 23
90% chanceNov 27
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 27
70% chanceNov 30
80% chanceDec 3
90% chanceDec 8
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 15
20% chanceNov 24
30% chanceNov 29
40% chanceDec 1
50% chanceDec 4
60% chanceDec 7
70% chanceDec 11
80% chanceDec 15
90% chanceDec 22

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: TUCUMCARI 4 NE (USC00299156)

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