๐Ÿ‚ First Frost Dates for Tatum, New Mexico 88267

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 18. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Tatum, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 4
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 11
50% chanceOct 14
60% chanceOct 17
70% chanceOct 20
80% chanceOct 23
90% chanceOct 27
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 14
30% chanceOct 18
40% chanceOct 21
50% chanceOct 24
60% chanceOct 27
70% chanceOct 30
80% chanceNov 1
90% chanceNov 5
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 19
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceOct 31
50% chanceNov 2
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 15
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 27
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 7
50% chanceNov 10
60% chanceNov 13
70% chanceNov 16
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 25
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 11
30% chanceNov 14
40% chanceNov 17
50% chanceNov 20
60% chanceNov 23
70% chanceNov 27
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 5
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 14
20% chanceNov 20
30% chanceNov 24
40% chanceNov 28
50% chanceDec 1
60% chanceDec 4
70% chanceDec 8
80% chanceDec 13
90% chanceDec 21

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: TATUM (USC00298713)