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🍂 First Frost Dates for Hatch, New Mexico 87937

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 19. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 27. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Hatch, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 11
20% chanceOct 16
30% chanceOct 19
40% chanceOct 21
50% chanceOct 23
60% chanceOct 26
70% chanceOct 28
80% chanceNov 1
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 20
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 27
40% chanceOct 30
50% chanceNov 1
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 14
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 28
20% chanceNov 2
30% chanceNov 6
40% chanceNov 9
50% chanceNov 12
60% chanceNov 14
70% chanceNov 17
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 24
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 20
50% chanceNov 23
60% chanceNov 26
70% chanceNov 30
80% chanceDec 3
90% chanceDec 7
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 25
30% chanceNov 30
40% chanceDec 2
50% chanceDec 5
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 11
80% chanceDec 16
90% chanceDec 23
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 30
20% chanceDec 5
30% chanceDec 9
40% chanceDec 14
50% chanceDec 19
60% chanceDec 23
70% chanceDec 28
80% chanceJan 2
90% chanceJan 14

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: CABALLO DAM (USC00291286)

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