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🍂 First Frost Dates for Ocate, New Mexico 87734

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 20. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Sep 28. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Ocate, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 13
20% chanceSep 17
30% chanceSep 20
40% chanceSep 22
50% chanceSep 24
60% chanceSep 26
70% chanceSep 29
80% chanceOct 1
90% chanceOct 4
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 20
20% chanceSep 25
30% chanceSep 28
40% chanceSep 30
50% chanceOct 2
60% chanceOct 4
70% chanceOct 6
80% chanceOct 9
90% chanceOct 13
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 28
20% chanceOct 2
30% chanceOct 5
40% chanceOct 8
50% chanceOct 10
60% chanceOct 13
70% chanceOct 16
80% chanceOct 19
90% chanceOct 23
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 12
30% chanceOct 15
40% chanceOct 18
50% chanceOct 21
60% chanceOct 23
70% chanceOct 26
80% chanceOct 30
90% chanceNov 2
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 17
20% chanceOct 22
30% chanceOct 25
40% chanceOct 29
50% chanceNov 1
60% chanceNov 3
70% chanceNov 5
80% chanceNov 8
90% chanceNov 13
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 25
20% chanceOct 31
30% chanceNov 3
40% chanceNov 5
50% chanceNov 8
60% chanceNov 11
70% chanceNov 14
80% chanceNov 18
90% chanceNov 22

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: CIMARRON 4 SW (USC00291813)

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