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🍂 First Frost Dates for Santa Cruz, New Mexico 87567

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 20. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Sep 29. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Santa Cruz, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 12
20% chanceSep 17
30% chanceSep 20
40% chanceSep 22
50% chanceSep 25
60% chanceSep 27
70% chanceSep 29
80% chanceOct 1
90% chanceOct 4
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 22
20% chanceSep 26
30% chanceSep 29
40% chanceOct 1
50% chanceOct 3
60% chanceOct 5
70% chanceOct 8
80% chanceOct 11
90% chanceOct 15
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 1
20% chanceOct 5
30% chanceOct 8
40% chanceOct 12
50% chanceOct 14
60% chanceOct 16
70% chanceOct 19
80% chanceOct 22
90% chanceOct 25
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 12
20% chanceOct 17
30% chanceOct 20
40% chanceOct 22
50% chanceOct 25
60% chanceOct 27
70% chanceOct 30
80% chanceNov 1
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 22
20% chanceOct 26
30% chanceOct 29
40% chanceNov 1
50% chanceNov 3
60% chanceNov 5
70% chanceNov 8
80% chanceNov 11
90% chanceNov 16
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 1
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 8
40% chanceNov 11
50% chanceNov 14
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 19
80% chanceNov 22
90% chanceNov 26

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ALCALDE (USC00290245)

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