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🍂 First Frost Dates for Kirtland, New Mexico 87417

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Kirtland, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 22
20% chanceSep 27
30% chanceOct 1
40% chanceOct 3
50% chanceOct 6
60% chanceOct 8
70% chanceOct 11
80% chanceOct 15
90% chanceOct 19
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 1
20% chanceOct 6
30% chanceOct 10
40% chanceOct 13
50% chanceOct 16
60% chanceOct 19
70% chanceOct 21
80% chanceOct 24
90% chanceOct 28
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 13
20% chanceOct 18
30% chanceOct 21
40% chanceOct 24
50% chanceOct 27
60% chanceOct 29
70% chanceNov 1
80% chanceNov 4
90% chanceNov 9
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 22
20% chanceOct 27
30% chanceOct 31
40% chanceNov 3
50% chanceNov 5
60% chanceNov 8
70% chanceNov 11
80% chanceNov 14
90% chanceNov 18
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 31
20% chanceNov 5
30% chanceNov 8
40% chanceNov 12
50% chanceNov 15
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 20
80% chanceNov 23
90% chanceNov 27
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 9
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 18
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 27
70% chanceNov 30
80% chanceDec 4
90% chanceDec 10

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: FARMINGTON AG SCI CTR (USC00293142)

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