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🍂 First Frost Dates for Paguate, New Mexico 87040

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Paguate, NM are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 24
20% chanceSep 29
30% chanceOct 1
40% chanceOct 4
50% chanceOct 6
60% chanceOct 8
70% chanceOct 11
80% chanceOct 14
90% chanceOct 18
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 3
20% chanceOct 7
30% chanceOct 10
40% chanceOct 13
50% chanceOct 16
60% chanceOct 19
70% chanceOct 21
80% chanceOct 25
90% chanceOct 29
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 12
20% chanceOct 17
30% chanceOct 21
40% chanceOct 25
50% chanceOct 28
60% chanceOct 31
70% chanceNov 2
80% chanceNov 4
90% chanceNov 8
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 23
20% chanceOct 29
30% chanceNov 1
40% chanceNov 4
50% chanceNov 6
60% chanceNov 8
70% chanceNov 11
80% chanceNov 15
90% chanceNov 18
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 2
20% chanceNov 6
30% chanceNov 10
40% chanceNov 14
50% chanceNov 16
60% chanceNov 19
70% chanceNov 22
80% chanceNov 24
90% chanceNov 28
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 12
20% chanceNov 18
30% chanceNov 21
40% chanceNov 23
50% chanceNov 26
60% chanceNov 29
70% chanceDec 2
80% chanceDec 5
90% chanceDec 11

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: LAGUNA (USC00294719)

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