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🍂 First Frost Dates for Kaibeto, Arizona 86053

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 28. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Kaibeto, AZ are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 20
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceOct 31
50% chanceNov 2
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 14
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 30
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 7
40% chanceNov 10
50% chanceNov 12
60% chanceNov 15
70% chanceNov 17
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 11
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 18
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 23
60% chanceNov 25
70% chanceNov 28
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 7
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 22
20% chanceNov 26
30% chanceNov 30
40% chanceDec 3
50% chanceDec 6
60% chanceDec 9
70% chanceDec 13
80% chanceDec 17
90% chanceDec 24
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 2
20% chanceDec 8
30% chanceDec 12
40% chanceDec 17
50% chanceDec 21
60% chanceDec 25
70% chanceDec 30
80% chanceJan 4
90% chanceJan 14
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 13
20% chanceDec 22
30% chanceDec 27
40% chanceJan 1
50% chanceJan 5
60% chanceJan 10
70% chanceJan 18
80% chanceJan 26
90% chanceFeb 3

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: PAGE (USC00026180)

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