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🍂 First Frost Dates for Snowflake, Arizona 85937

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 28. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 6. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Snowflake, AZ are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 20
20% chanceSep 24
30% chanceSep 28
40% chanceOct 1
50% chanceOct 3
60% chanceOct 5
70% chanceOct 7
80% chanceOct 10
90% chanceOct 14
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 1
20% chanceOct 4
30% chanceOct 6
40% chanceOct 9
50% chanceOct 12
60% chanceOct 14
70% chanceOct 17
80% chanceOct 19
90% chanceOct 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 8
20% chanceOct 13
30% chanceOct 16
40% chanceOct 19
50% chanceOct 22
60% chanceOct 25
70% chanceOct 28
80% chanceOct 31
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 17
20% chanceOct 22
30% chanceOct 26
40% chanceOct 29
50% chanceNov 1
60% chanceNov 4
70% chanceNov 6
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 15
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 28
20% chanceNov 2
30% chanceNov 5
40% chanceNov 8
50% chanceNov 12
60% chanceNov 15
70% chanceNov 18
80% chanceNov 21
90% chanceNov 26
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 7
20% chanceNov 14
30% chanceNov 18
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 27
70% chanceNov 29
80% chanceDec 3
90% chanceDec 8

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: SNOWFLAKE (USC00028012)

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