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🍂 First Frost Dates for Forest Lakes, Arizona 85931

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 23. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 3. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Forest Lakes, AZ are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 14
20% chanceSep 20
30% chanceSep 23
40% chanceSep 26
50% chanceSep 29
60% chanceOct 1
70% chanceOct 4
80% chanceOct 7
90% chanceOct 11
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 25
20% chanceSep 30
30% chanceOct 3
40% chanceOct 5
50% chanceOct 8
60% chanceOct 11
70% chanceOct 15
80% chanceOct 18
90% chanceOct 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 4
20% chanceOct 9
30% chanceOct 13
40% chanceOct 17
50% chanceOct 19
60% chanceOct 23
70% chanceOct 26
80% chanceOct 30
90% chanceNov 3
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 16
20% chanceOct 20
30% chanceOct 24
40% chanceOct 28
50% chanceOct 31
60% chanceNov 3
70% chanceNov 6
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 15
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 8
50% chanceNov 12
60% chanceNov 15
70% chanceNov 18
80% chanceNov 21
90% chanceNov 25
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 11
30% chanceNov 15
40% chanceNov 18
50% chanceNov 21
60% chanceNov 25
70% chanceNov 28
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 6

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: CHEVELON RS (USC00021574)

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