The last 36°F Spring frost date is 30% likely to be on May 17. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The last 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on May 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also 🍂 First Fall Frost Dates.)
Last frost date probabilities for Concho, AZ are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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The last spring frost signals when your area is safe from freezing temperatures. Tender plants can now grow outdoors without cold damage! This marks the beginning of the growing season. Last spring frost serves as your essential starting point for planting warm-season crops. It's also time to remove winter protection from your perennials. Enjoy the longer days and warmer weather!
Start seeds indoors several weeks before your last frost date. This gives plants time to reach transplanting size when weather permits. Plan your outdoor planting schedule around your area's average last frost date. Plant some crops before and some after this date to protect against weather changes. Look for spots in your yard where frost stays longer or disappears earlier. Create your own frost map to use all available growing space and extend your season. Keep watching your local weather forecast to catch any surprise late frosts.
| Probability of frost (36°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | May 27 |
| 20% chance | May 21 |
| 30% chance | May 17 |
| 40% chance | May 14 |
| 50% chance | May 10 |
| 60% chance | May 7 |
| 70% chance | May 4 |
| 80% chance | May 1 |
| 90% chance | Apr 28 |
| Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | May 15 |
| 20% chance | May 9 |
| 30% chance | May 5 |
| 40% chance | May 2 |
| 50% chance | Apr 30 |
| 60% chance | Apr 27 |
| 70% chance | Apr 24 |
| 80% chance | Apr 20 |
| 90% chance | Apr 14 |
| Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | May 4 |
| 20% chance | Apr 29 |
| 30% chance | Apr 24 |
| 40% chance | Apr 20 |
| 50% chance | Apr 16 |
| 60% chance | Apr 13 |
| 70% chance | Apr 9 |
| 80% chance | Apr 5 |
| 90% chance | Mar 31 |
| Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Apr 20 |
| 20% chance | Apr 13 |
| 30% chance | Apr 9 |
| 40% chance | Apr 5 |
| 50% chance | Apr 2 |
| 60% chance | Mar 30 |
| 70% chance | Mar 27 |
| 80% chance | Mar 22 |
| 90% chance | Mar 16 |
| Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Apr 4 |
| 20% chance | Mar 31 |
| 30% chance | Mar 27 |
| 40% chance | Mar 23 |
| 50% chance | Mar 19 |
| 60% chance | Mar 16 |
| 70% chance | Mar 12 |
| 80% chance | Mar 7 |
| 90% chance | Feb 28 |
| Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Mar 25 |
| 20% chance | Mar 19 |
| 30% chance | Mar 14 |
| 40% chance | Mar 9 |
| 50% chance | Mar 5 |
| 60% chance | Feb 28 |
| 70% chance | Feb 22 |
| 80% chance | Feb 14 |
| 90% chance | Feb 5 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ST JOHNS INDUSTRIAL AP (USW00093027)