๐Ÿ‚ First Frost Dates for Winkelman, Arizona 85192

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 12. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Winkelman, AZ are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 22
20% chanceOct 27
30% chanceNov 1
40% chanceNov 4
50% chanceNov 7
60% chanceNov 11
70% chanceNov 14
80% chanceNov 18
90% chanceNov 23
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 2
20% chanceNov 8
30% chanceNov 12
40% chanceNov 16
50% chanceNov 19
60% chanceNov 22
70% chanceNov 25
80% chanceNov 30
90% chanceDec 5
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 14
20% chanceNov 20
30% chanceNov 24
40% chanceNov 28
50% chanceDec 1
60% chanceDec 5
70% chanceDec 8
80% chanceDec 12
90% chanceDec 18
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 24
20% chanceDec 1
30% chanceDec 6
40% chanceDec 10
50% chanceDec 14
60% chanceDec 19
70% chanceDec 24
80% chanceJan 2
90% chanceJan 16
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceDec 5
20% chanceDec 13
30% chanceDec 18
40% chanceDec 23
50% chanceDec 29
60% chanceJan 4
70% chanceJan 12
80% chanceJan 26
90% chanceFeb 5
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceDec 15
20% chanceDec 21
30% chanceDec 27
40% chanceDec 31
50% chanceJan 5
60% chanceJan 9
70% chanceJan 15
80% chanceJan 29
90% chanceFeb 8

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ORACLE 2 SE (USC00026119)