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🍂 First Frost Dates for Kermit, Texas 79745

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 21. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Kermit, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 11
20% chanceOct 18
30% chanceOct 21
40% chanceOct 25
50% chanceOct 28
60% chanceOct 31
70% chanceNov 2
80% chanceNov 5
90% chanceNov 9
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 22
20% chanceOct 28
30% chanceNov 1
40% chanceNov 3
50% chanceNov 5
60% chanceNov 8
70% chanceNov 11
80% chanceNov 14
90% chanceNov 19
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 1
20% chanceNov 5
30% chanceNov 9
40% chanceNov 12
50% chanceNov 15
60% chanceNov 18
70% chanceNov 21
80% chanceNov 25
90% chanceDec 1
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 10
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 23
50% chanceNov 25
60% chanceNov 29
70% chanceDec 1
80% chanceDec 5
90% chanceDec 10
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 25
30% chanceNov 30
40% chanceDec 3
50% chanceDec 5
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 13
80% chanceDec 18
90% chanceDec 26
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 29
20% chanceDec 4
30% chanceDec 8
40% chanceDec 12
50% chanceDec 17
60% chanceDec 22
70% chanceDec 27
80% chanceJan 3
90% chanceJan 16

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: WINKLER CO AP (USW00023040)

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