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🍂 First Frost Dates for Canadian, Texas 79014

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 4. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 14. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Canadian, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 25
20% chanceSep 30
30% chanceOct 4
40% chanceOct 7
50% chanceOct 10
60% chanceOct 13
70% chanceOct 16
80% chanceOct 19
90% chanceOct 23
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 2
20% chanceOct 9
30% chanceOct 14
40% chanceOct 17
50% chanceOct 20
60% chanceOct 23
70% chanceOct 26
80% chanceOct 28
90% chanceNov 1
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 13
20% chanceOct 20
30% chanceOct 23
40% chanceOct 27
50% chanceOct 29
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 3
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 11
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 21
20% chanceOct 27
30% chanceOct 31
40% chanceNov 3
50% chanceNov 6
60% chanceNov 9
70% chanceNov 13
80% chanceNov 16
90% chanceNov 21
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 30
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 9
40% chanceNov 13
50% chanceNov 16
60% chanceNov 19
70% chanceNov 23
80% chanceNov 27
90% chanceDec 2
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 23
50% chanceNov 27
60% chanceNov 30
70% chanceDec 3
80% chanceDec 7
90% chanceDec 14

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: CANADIAN (USC00411412)

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