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🍂 First Frost Dates for Leakey, Texas 78873

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 19. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 29. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Leakey, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 14
30% chanceOct 19
40% chanceOct 23
50% chanceOct 26
60% chanceOct 29
70% chanceNov 1
80% chanceNov 4
90% chanceNov 8
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 18
20% chanceOct 25
30% chanceOct 29
40% chanceNov 1
50% chanceNov 3
60% chanceNov 6
70% chanceNov 9
80% chanceNov 13
90% chanceNov 18
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 29
20% chanceNov 3
30% chanceNov 6
40% chanceNov 10
50% chanceNov 13
60% chanceNov 16
70% chanceNov 20
80% chanceNov 24
90% chanceDec 1
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 6
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 25
60% chanceNov 30
70% chanceDec 3
80% chanceDec 7
90% chanceDec 15
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 19
20% chanceNov 27
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 5
50% chanceDec 9
60% chanceDec 14
70% chanceDec 20
80% chanceDec 28
90% chanceJan 7
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 7
30% chanceDec 13
40% chanceDec 19
50% chanceDec 25
60% chanceDec 31
70% chanceJan 6
80% chanceJan 17
90% chanceFeb 1

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: PRADE RCH (USC00417232)

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