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🍂 First Frost Dates for McDade, Texas 78650

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 8. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 20. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for McDade, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 31
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 8
40% chanceNov 12
50% chanceNov 15
60% chanceNov 19
70% chanceNov 22
80% chanceNov 26
90% chanceDec 1
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 8
20% chanceNov 15
30% chanceNov 20
40% chanceNov 24
50% chanceNov 28
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 4
80% chanceDec 8
90% chanceDec 14
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 27
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 5
50% chanceDec 8
60% chanceDec 13
70% chanceDec 17
80% chanceDec 24
90% chanceJan 3
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 7
30% chanceDec 12
40% chanceDec 17
50% chanceDec 23
60% chanceDec 29
70% chanceJan 3
80% chanceJan 12
90% chanceJan 28
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 9
20% chanceDec 15
30% chanceDec 22
40% chanceDec 28
50% chanceJan 1
60% chanceJan 6
70% chanceJan 15
80% chanceJan 26
90% chanceFeb 7
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 13
20% chanceDec 20
30% chanceDec 26
40% chanceDec 30
50% chanceJan 2
60% chanceJan 8
70% chanceJan 20
80% chanceJan 28
90% chanceFeb 6

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ELGIN (USC00412820)

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