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🍂 First Frost Dates for Mathis, Texas 78368

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Dec 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Dec 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Mathis, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 27
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 4
50% chanceDec 7
60% chanceDec 10
70% chanceDec 15
80% chanceDec 20
90% chanceDec 28
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 6
30% chanceDec 10
40% chanceDec 15
50% chanceDec 20
60% chanceDec 25
70% chanceDec 30
80% chanceJan 6
90% chanceJan 20
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 8
20% chanceDec 14
30% chanceDec 20
40% chanceDec 26
50% chanceDec 30
60% chanceJan 3
70% chanceJan 10
80% chanceJan 21
90% chanceFeb 3
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 12
20% chanceDec 19
30% chanceDec 25
40% chanceDec 29
50% chanceJan 1
60% chanceJan 5
70% chanceJan 11
80% chanceJan 22
90% chanceFeb 2
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chancerarely
20% chancerarely
30% chancerarely
40% chancerarely
50% chancerarely
60% chancerarely
70% chancerarely
80% chancerarely
90% chancerarely
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chancerarely
20% chancerarely
30% chancerarely
40% chancerarely
50% chancerarely
60% chancerarely
70% chancerarely
80% chancerarely
90% chancerarely

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: MATHIS 4 SSW (USC00415661)

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