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🍂 First Frost Dates for Kenedy, Texas 78119

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 17. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 29. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Kenedy, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 21
50% chanceNov 25
60% chanceNov 29
70% chanceDec 1
80% chanceDec 5
90% chanceDec 11
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 18
20% chanceNov 25
30% chanceNov 29
40% chanceDec 2
50% chanceDec 5
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 12
80% chanceDec 18
90% chanceDec 28
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 4
30% chanceDec 8
40% chanceDec 13
50% chanceDec 17
60% chanceDec 23
70% chanceDec 30
80% chanceJan 7
90% chanceJan 21
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 6
20% chanceDec 12
30% chanceDec 17
40% chanceDec 23
50% chanceDec 28
60% chanceJan 2
70% chanceJan 10
80% chanceJan 21
90% chanceFeb 4
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 10
20% chanceDec 15
30% chanceDec 20
40% chanceDec 27
50% chanceDec 30
60% chanceJan 2
70% chanceJan 8
80% chanceJan 19
90% chanceFeb 1
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 12
20% chanceDec 17
30% chanceDec 24
40% chanceDec 29
50% chanceDec 31
60% chanceJan 3
70% chanceJan 8
80% chanceJan 18
90% chanceJan 24

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: KARNES CITY 2N (USC00414696)

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