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🍂 First Frost Dates for Avalon, Texas 76623

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 2. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 13. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Avalon, TX are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 25
20% chanceOct 30
30% chanceNov 2
40% chanceNov 5
50% chanceNov 9
60% chanceNov 12
70% chanceNov 16
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 25
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 2
20% chanceNov 8
30% chanceNov 13
40% chanceNov 17
50% chanceNov 21
60% chanceNov 24
70% chanceNov 28
80% chanceDec 2
90% chanceDec 8
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 13
20% chanceNov 20
30% chanceNov 25
40% chanceNov 30
50% chanceDec 2
60% chanceDec 6
70% chanceDec 10
80% chanceDec 15
90% chanceDec 23
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 29
20% chanceDec 3
30% chanceDec 7
40% chanceDec 12
50% chanceDec 16
60% chanceDec 21
70% chanceDec 26
80% chanceJan 1
90% chanceJan 10
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 6
20% chanceDec 13
30% chanceDec 18
40% chanceDec 24
50% chanceDec 28
60% chanceJan 1
70% chanceJan 7
80% chanceJan 15
90% chanceJan 28
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 11
20% chanceDec 17
30% chanceDec 24
40% chanceDec 29
50% chanceJan 1
60% chanceJan 6
70% chanceJan 13
80% chanceJan 22
90% chanceFeb 1

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: BARDWELL DAM (USC00410518)

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