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🍂 First Frost Dates for Monticello, Arkansas 71655

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 24. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 4. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Monticello, AR are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 13
20% chanceOct 21
30% chanceOct 24
40% chanceOct 28
50% chanceNov 1
60% chanceNov 3
70% chanceNov 7
80% chanceNov 12
90% chanceNov 18
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 25
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 9
50% chanceNov 13
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 22
80% chanceNov 26
90% chanceDec 2
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 6
20% chanceNov 14
30% chanceNov 20
40% chanceNov 25
50% chanceNov 29
60% chanceDec 2
70% chanceDec 6
80% chanceDec 11
90% chanceDec 18
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 20
20% chanceNov 30
30% chanceDec 4
40% chanceDec 7
50% chanceDec 12
60% chanceDec 16
70% chanceDec 22
80% chanceDec 27
90% chanceJan 5
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 4
20% chanceDec 10
30% chanceDec 15
40% chanceDec 20
50% chanceDec 24
60% chanceDec 29
70% chanceJan 2
80% chanceJan 10
90% chanceJan 22
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 11
20% chanceDec 16
30% chanceDec 21
40% chanceDec 26
50% chanceDec 29
60% chanceJan 2
70% chanceJan 8
80% chanceJan 17
90% chanceJan 30

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: MONTICELLO MUNI AP (USW00053919)

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