๐Ÿ‚ First Frost Dates for Lincoln, Missouri 65338

The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 19. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also ๐ŸŒท Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Lincoln, MO are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโ€”and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 3
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 11
50% chanceOct 14
60% chanceOct 18
70% chanceOct 21
80% chanceOct 25
90% chanceOct 30
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 15
30% chanceOct 19
40% chanceOct 23
50% chanceOct 26
60% chanceOct 29
70% chanceNov 1
80% chanceNov 4
90% chanceNov 10
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceOct 20
20% chanceOct 27
30% chanceOct 31
40% chanceNov 2
50% chanceNov 5
60% chanceNov 9
70% chanceNov 13
80% chanceNov 17
90% chanceNov 22
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 1
20% chanceNov 6
30% chanceNov 11
40% chanceNov 14
50% chanceNov 18
60% chanceNov 22
70% chanceNov 26
80% chanceNov 30
90% chanceDec 4
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 12
20% chanceNov 18
30% chanceNov 22
40% chanceNov 26
50% chanceNov 30
60% chanceDec 2
70% chanceDec 5
80% chanceDec 10
90% chanceDec 15
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before...
10% chanceNov 22
20% chanceNov 29
30% chanceDec 2
40% chanceDec 5
50% chanceDec 9
60% chanceDec 13
70% chanceDec 17
80% chanceDec 21
90% chanceDec 26

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: TRUMAN DAM & RSVR (USC00238466)