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🍂 First Frost Dates for Mercer, North Dakota 58559

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Sep 18. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Mercer, ND are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 1
20% chanceSep 6
30% chanceSep 10
40% chanceSep 13
50% chanceSep 15
60% chanceSep 17
70% chanceSep 20
80% chanceSep 23
90% chanceSep 26
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 10
20% chanceSep 15
30% chanceSep 18
40% chanceSep 20
50% chanceSep 23
60% chanceSep 25
70% chanceSep 28
80% chanceOct 1
90% chanceOct 5
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 18
20% chanceSep 23
30% chanceSep 26
40% chanceSep 28
50% chanceOct 1
60% chanceOct 4
70% chanceOct 7
80% chanceOct 10
90% chanceOct 15
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 26
20% chanceOct 1
30% chanceOct 4
40% chanceOct 7
50% chanceOct 10
60% chanceOct 13
70% chanceOct 16
80% chanceOct 20
90% chanceOct 25
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 4
20% chanceOct 9
30% chanceOct 13
40% chanceOct 16
50% chanceOct 20
60% chanceOct 23
70% chanceOct 27
80% chanceOct 30
90% chanceNov 4
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 13
20% chanceOct 18
30% chanceOct 22
40% chanceOct 26
50% chanceOct 29
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 5
80% chanceNov 9
90% chanceNov 15

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: TURTLE LAKE (USC00328840)

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