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🍂 First Frost Dates for Niles, Ohio 44446

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 1. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Niles, OH are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 22
20% chanceSep 27
30% chanceOct 1
40% chanceOct 3
50% chanceOct 5
60% chanceOct 7
70% chanceOct 10
80% chanceOct 14
90% chanceOct 19
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 2
20% chanceOct 6
30% chanceOct 10
40% chanceOct 14
50% chanceOct 17
60% chanceOct 21
70% chanceOct 24
80% chanceOct 29
90% chanceNov 2
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 12
20% chanceOct 20
30% chanceOct 24
40% chanceOct 28
50% chanceOct 31
60% chanceNov 3
70% chanceNov 6
80% chanceNov 10
90% chanceNov 15
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 5
40% chanceNov 8
50% chanceNov 12
60% chanceNov 16
70% chanceNov 20
80% chanceNov 25
90% chanceDec 2
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 6
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 19
40% chanceNov 24
50% chanceNov 28
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 6
80% chanceDec 10
90% chanceDec 17
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 21
20% chanceNov 30
30% chanceDec 3
40% chanceDec 7
50% chanceDec 10
60% chanceDec 14
70% chanceDec 18
80% chanceDec 22
90% chanceDec 28

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: MINERAL RIDGE WTR WKS (USC00335356)

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