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🍂 First Frost Dates for Cordova, Tennessee 38018

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 19. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 30. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Cordova, TN are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 10
20% chanceOct 15
30% chanceOct 19
40% chanceOct 22
50% chanceOct 25
60% chanceOct 28
70% chanceOct 31
80% chanceNov 3
90% chanceNov 8
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 19
20% chanceOct 25
30% chanceOct 30
40% chanceNov 1
50% chanceNov 4
60% chanceNov 8
70% chanceNov 12
80% chanceNov 17
90% chanceNov 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 31
20% chanceNov 5
30% chanceNov 9
40% chanceNov 14
50% chanceNov 18
60% chanceNov 22
70% chanceNov 27
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 6
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 10
20% chanceNov 18
30% chanceNov 25
40% chanceNov 30
50% chanceDec 2
60% chanceDec 6
70% chanceDec 10
80% chanceDec 16
90% chanceDec 24
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 26
20% chanceDec 2
30% chanceDec 6
40% chanceDec 11
50% chanceDec 16
60% chanceDec 21
70% chanceDec 27
80% chanceJan 1
90% chanceJan 10
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 6
20% chanceDec 12
30% chanceDec 17
40% chanceDec 23
50% chanceDec 28
60% chanceJan 1
70% chanceJan 6
80% chanceJan 14
90% chanceJan 24

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: MEMPHIS WFO (USC00405956)

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