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🍂 First Frost Dates for Manchester, Tennessee 37355

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 6. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Manchester, TN are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 29
20% chanceOct 3
30% chanceOct 6
40% chanceOct 8
50% chanceOct 11
60% chanceOct 14
70% chanceOct 16
80% chanceOct 20
90% chanceOct 25
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 6
20% chanceOct 12
30% chanceOct 15
40% chanceOct 18
50% chanceOct 21
60% chanceOct 23
70% chanceOct 26
80% chanceOct 30
90% chanceNov 3
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 16
20% chanceOct 21
30% chanceOct 25
40% chanceOct 27
50% chanceOct 30
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 4
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 13
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 27
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 3
40% chanceNov 6
50% chanceNov 9
60% chanceNov 12
70% chanceNov 17
80% chanceNov 22
90% chanceNov 30
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 5
20% chanceNov 11
30% chanceNov 16
40% chanceNov 19
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 29
70% chanceDec 2
80% chanceDec 6
90% chanceDec 14
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 15
20% chanceNov 24
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 3
50% chanceDec 7
60% chanceDec 12
70% chanceDec 18
80% chanceDec 25
90% chanceJan 2

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: MANCHESTER #2 (USC00405595)

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