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🍂 First Frost Dates for Dunnellon, Florida 34434

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 28. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Dunnellon, FL are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 3
20% chanceNov 10
30% chanceNov 15
40% chanceNov 20
50% chanceNov 24
60% chanceNov 30
70% chanceDec 3
80% chanceDec 8
90% chanceDec 17
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 14
20% chanceNov 21
30% chanceNov 28
40% chanceDec 2
50% chanceDec 6
60% chanceDec 11
70% chanceDec 18
80% chanceDec 27
90% chanceJan 7
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 27
20% chanceDec 4
30% chanceDec 9
40% chanceDec 16
50% chanceDec 23
60% chanceDec 30
70% chanceJan 4
80% chanceJan 13
90% chanceJan 27
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 5
20% chanceDec 15
30% chanceDec 24
40% chanceDec 30
50% chanceJan 3
60% chanceJan 8
70% chanceJan 17
80% chanceJan 25
90% chanceFeb 5
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 11
20% chanceDec 25
30% chanceDec 31
40% chanceJan 3
50% chanceJan 7
60% chanceJan 12
70% chanceJan 19
80% chanceJan 25
90% chanceFeb 3
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chancerarely
20% chancerarely
30% chancerarely
40% chancerarely
50% chancerarely
60% chancerarely
70% chancerarely
80% chancerarely
90% chancerarely

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: INVERNESS 3 SE (USC00084289)

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