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🍂 First Frost Dates for Gainesville, Florida 32607

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Nov 5. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 17. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Gainesville, FL are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 26
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 5
40% chanceNov 9
50% chanceNov 13
60% chanceNov 17
70% chanceNov 22
80% chanceNov 28
90% chanceDec 5
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 4
20% chanceNov 11
30% chanceNov 17
40% chanceNov 22
50% chanceNov 27
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 5
80% chanceDec 12
90% chanceDec 23
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 18
20% chanceNov 26
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 5
50% chanceDec 10
60% chanceDec 17
70% chanceDec 24
80% chanceJan 3
90% chanceJan 15
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 8
30% chanceDec 15
40% chanceDec 22
50% chanceDec 30
60% chanceJan 5
70% chanceJan 13
80% chanceJan 25
90% chanceFeb 5
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 10
20% chanceDec 19
30% chanceDec 27
40% chanceJan 2
50% chanceJan 7
60% chanceJan 15
70% chanceJan 26
80% chanceFeb 3
90% chanceFeb 12
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 16
20% chanceDec 29
30% chanceJan 2
40% chanceJan 7
50% chanceJan 14
60% chanceJan 22
70% chanceJan 31
80% chanceFeb 6
90% chanceFeb 15

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: GAINESVILLE 11 WNW (USC00083322)

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