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🍂 First Frost Dates for Manchester, Georgia 31816

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 25. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Nov 4. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Manchester, GA are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 16
20% chanceOct 21
30% chanceOct 25
40% chanceOct 28
50% chanceOct 30
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 5
80% chanceNov 9
90% chanceNov 16
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 27
20% chanceNov 1
30% chanceNov 4
40% chanceNov 7
50% chanceNov 11
60% chanceNov 15
70% chanceNov 19
80% chanceNov 25
90% chanceDec 1
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 7
20% chanceNov 13
30% chanceNov 18
40% chanceNov 22
50% chanceNov 27
60% chanceDec 1
70% chanceDec 3
80% chanceDec 7
90% chanceDec 16
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 24
20% chanceNov 30
30% chanceDec 2
40% chanceDec 5
50% chanceDec 9
60% chanceDec 13
70% chanceDec 19
80% chanceDec 25
90% chanceJan 2
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 5
20% chanceDec 9
30% chanceDec 14
40% chanceDec 18
50% chanceDec 23
60% chanceDec 28
70% chanceJan 2
80% chanceJan 8
90% chanceJan 19
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 11
20% chanceDec 16
30% chanceDec 22
40% chanceDec 27
50% chanceJan 1
60% chanceJan 5
70% chanceJan 12
80% chanceJan 19
90% chanceJan 31

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: THOMASTON (USC00098661)

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