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🍂 First Frost Dates for Arden, North Carolina 28704

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 16. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Arden, NC are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 1
20% chanceOct 4
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 10
50% chanceOct 12
60% chanceOct 15
70% chanceOct 18
80% chanceOct 21
90% chanceOct 27
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 8
20% chanceOct 13
30% chanceOct 16
40% chanceOct 19
50% chanceOct 22
60% chanceOct 25
70% chanceOct 28
80% chanceNov 1
90% chanceNov 5
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 18
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceOct 31
50% chanceNov 2
60% chanceNov 5
70% chanceNov 8
80% chanceNov 13
90% chanceNov 19
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 31
20% chanceNov 5
30% chanceNov 10
40% chanceNov 14
50% chanceNov 17
60% chanceNov 21
70% chanceNov 27
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 7
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 15
20% chanceNov 22
30% chanceNov 27
40% chanceDec 1
50% chanceDec 4
60% chanceDec 8
70% chanceDec 12
80% chanceDec 19
90% chanceDec 28
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 6
30% chanceDec 10
40% chanceDec 14
50% chanceDec 20
60% chanceDec 24
70% chanceDec 29
80% chanceJan 4
90% chanceJan 14

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: ASHEVILLE RGNL AP (USW00003812)

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