The last 36°F Spring frost date is 30% likely to be on Apr 25. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The last 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Apr 11. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also 🍂 First Fall Frost Dates.)
Last frost date probabilities for Chapel Hill, NC are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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The last spring frost signals when your area is safe from freezing temperatures. Tender plants can now grow outdoors without cold damage! This marks the beginning of the growing season. Last spring frost serves as your essential starting point for planting warm-season crops. It's also time to remove winter protection from your perennials. Enjoy the longer days and warmer weather!
Start seeds indoors several weeks before your last frost date. This gives plants time to reach transplanting size when weather permits. Plan your outdoor planting schedule around your area's average last frost date. Plant some crops before and some after this date to protect against weather changes. Look for spots in your yard where frost stays longer or disappears earlier. Create your own frost map to use all available growing space and extend your season. Keep watching your local weather forecast to catch any surprise late frosts.
| Probability of frost (36°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | May 5 |
| 20% chance | Apr 30 |
| 30% chance | Apr 25 |
| 40% chance | Apr 22 |
| 50% chance | Apr 19 |
| 60% chance | Apr 16 |
| 70% chance | Apr 13 |
| 80% chance | Apr 8 |
| 90% chance | Apr 3 |
| Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Apr 21 |
| 20% chance | Apr 15 |
| 30% chance | Apr 11 |
| 40% chance | Apr 7 |
| 50% chance | Apr 3 |
| 60% chance | Apr 1 |
| 70% chance | Mar 29 |
| 80% chance | Mar 24 |
| 90% chance | Mar 19 |
| Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Apr 6 |
| 20% chance | Apr 1 |
| 30% chance | Mar 28 |
| 40% chance | Mar 24 |
| 50% chance | Mar 20 |
| 60% chance | Mar 17 |
| 70% chance | Mar 13 |
| 80% chance | Mar 9 |
| 90% chance | Mar 3 |
| Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Mar 25 |
| 20% chance | Mar 19 |
| 30% chance | Mar 14 |
| 40% chance | Mar 9 |
| 50% chance | Mar 5 |
| 60% chance | Mar 1 |
| 70% chance | Feb 26 |
| 80% chance | Feb 20 |
| 90% chance | Feb 12 |
| Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Mar 12 |
| 20% chance | Mar 4 |
| 30% chance | Feb 28 |
| 40% chance | Feb 22 |
| 50% chance | Feb 17 |
| 60% chance | Feb 10 |
| 70% chance | Feb 5 |
| 80% chance | Jan 31 |
| 90% chance | Jan 22 |
| Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or after… | |
|---|---|
| 10% chance | Feb 28 |
| 20% chance | Feb 18 |
| 30% chance | Feb 9 |
| 40% chance | Feb 4 |
| 50% chance | Jan 31 |
| 60% chance | Jan 28 |
| 70% chance | Jan 21 |
| 80% chance | Jan 14 |
| 90% chance | Jan 2 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: CHAPEL HILL 2 W (USC00311677)