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🍂 First Frost Dates for Welcome, North Carolina 27374

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 10. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 20. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Welcome, NC are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 3
20% chanceOct 7
30% chanceOct 10
40% chanceOct 13
50% chanceOct 16
60% chanceOct 18
70% chanceOct 22
80% chanceOct 25
90% chanceOct 31
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 11
20% chanceOct 16
30% chanceOct 20
40% chanceOct 23
50% chanceOct 26
60% chanceOct 29
70% chanceNov 1
80% chanceNov 4
90% chanceNov 9
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 23
20% chanceOct 29
30% chanceNov 1
40% chanceNov 4
50% chanceNov 6
60% chanceNov 9
70% chanceNov 13
80% chanceNov 17
90% chanceNov 25
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 4
20% chanceNov 10
30% chanceNov 13
40% chanceNov 17
50% chanceNov 21
60% chanceNov 26
70% chanceDec 1
80% chanceDec 4
90% chanceDec 10
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 16
20% chanceNov 23
30% chanceNov 29
40% chanceDec 2
50% chanceDec 5
60% chanceDec 9
70% chanceDec 14
80% chanceDec 21
90% chanceDec 31
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 6
30% chanceDec 11
40% chanceDec 16
50% chanceDec 21
60% chanceDec 27
70% chanceJan 1
80% chanceJan 8
90% chanceJan 18

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: LEXINGTON (USC00314970)

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