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🍂 First Frost Dates for Elon, North Carolina 27244

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 18. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 29. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Elon, NC are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 7
20% chanceOct 13
30% chanceOct 18
40% chanceOct 22
50% chanceOct 26
60% chanceOct 29
70% chanceNov 1
80% chanceNov 5
90% chanceNov 10
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 17
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 29
40% chanceNov 2
50% chanceNov 6
60% chanceNov 9
70% chanceNov 13
80% chanceNov 18
90% chanceNov 26
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 30
20% chanceNov 7
30% chanceNov 13
40% chanceNov 18
50% chanceNov 22
60% chanceNov 27
70% chanceDec 1
80% chanceDec 4
90% chanceDec 11
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 19
20% chanceNov 25
30% chanceDec 1
40% chanceDec 3
50% chanceDec 7
60% chanceDec 10
70% chanceDec 15
80% chanceDec 21
90% chanceDec 28
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 1
20% chanceDec 7
30% chanceDec 12
40% chanceDec 16
50% chanceDec 21
60% chanceDec 26
70% chanceDec 31
80% chanceJan 7
90% chanceJan 18
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceDec 9
20% chanceDec 17
30% chanceDec 25
40% chanceDec 30
50% chanceJan 3
60% chanceJan 10
70% chanceJan 17
80% chanceJan 24
90% chanceFeb 1

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: BURLINGTON FIRE STN #5 (USC00311239)

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