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🍂 First Frost Dates for New Canton, Virginia 23123

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 7. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 17. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for New Canton, VA are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 1
20% chanceOct 5
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 10
50% chanceOct 13
60% chanceOct 15
70% chanceOct 18
80% chanceOct 22
90% chanceOct 27
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 9
20% chanceOct 13
30% chanceOct 17
40% chanceOct 20
50% chanceOct 23
60% chanceOct 26
70% chanceOct 29
80% chanceNov 1
90% chanceNov 6
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 19
20% chanceOct 24
30% chanceOct 28
40% chanceNov 1
50% chanceNov 3
60% chanceNov 6
70% chanceNov 9
80% chanceNov 13
90% chanceNov 19
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 30
20% chanceNov 4
30% chanceNov 8
40% chanceNov 12
50% chanceNov 16
60% chanceNov 20
70% chanceNov 25
80% chanceNov 30
90% chanceDec 5
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 12
20% chanceNov 19
30% chanceNov 24
40% chanceNov 29
50% chanceDec 2
60% chanceDec 5
70% chanceDec 8
80% chanceDec 14
90% chanceDec 21
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 27
20% chanceDec 2
30% chanceDec 6
40% chanceDec 10
50% chanceDec 14
60% chanceDec 18
70% chanceDec 23
80% chanceDec 28
90% chanceJan 5

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: BREMO BLUFF (USC00440993)

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