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🍂 First Frost Dates for Poland, New York 13431

The first 36°F frost date is 30% likely to be on Sep 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)

The first 32°F light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Sep 27. (See detailed probabilities below.)

(See also 🌷 Last Spring Frost Dates.)

First frost date probabilities for Poland, NY are based on historical climate data.

Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.

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What is a First Frost Date?

The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweater—and start planning your spring garden!

How to use the First Frost Date?

Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.

First Frost Date Probabilities

Probability of frost (36°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 2
20% chanceSep 10
30% chanceSep 15
40% chanceSep 18
50% chanceSep 21
60% chanceSep 24
70% chanceSep 27
80% chanceSep 30
90% chanceOct 4
Probability of light freeze (32°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 20
20% chanceSep 24
30% chanceSep 27
40% chanceSep 30
50% chanceOct 2
60% chanceOct 5
70% chanceOct 7
80% chanceOct 11
90% chanceOct 17
Probability of moderate freeze (28°F) on or before...
10% chanceSep 30
20% chanceOct 4
30% chanceOct 7
40% chanceOct 10
50% chanceOct 14
60% chanceOct 17
70% chanceOct 21
80% chanceOct 27
90% chanceNov 1
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 11
20% chanceOct 16
30% chanceOct 21
40% chanceOct 25
50% chanceOct 29
60% chanceNov 1
70% chanceNov 3
80% chanceNov 7
90% chanceNov 13
Probability of hard freeze (20°F) on or before...
10% chanceOct 24
20% chanceOct 30
30% chanceNov 2
40% chanceNov 6
50% chanceNov 9
60% chanceNov 12
70% chanceNov 16
80% chanceNov 20
90% chanceNov 25
Probability of severe hard freeze (16°F) on or before...
10% chanceNov 6
20% chanceNov 11
30% chanceNov 15
40% chanceNov 19
50% chanceNov 22
60% chanceNov 25
70% chanceNov 28
80% chanceDec 1
90% chanceDec 7

Agricultural climatic data from weather station: LITTLE FALLS CITY RES (USC00304791)

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