The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 6. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 16. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also ๐ท Last Spring Frost Dates.)
First frost date probabilities for Lincroft, NJ are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโand start planning your spring garden!
Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.
Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 1 |
20% chance | Oct 4 |
30% chance | Oct 6 |
40% chance | Oct 8 |
50% chance | Oct 11 |
60% chance | Oct 14 |
70% chance | Oct 17 |
80% chance | Oct 21 |
90% chance | Oct 27 |
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 8 |
20% chance | Oct 12 |
30% chance | Oct 16 |
40% chance | Oct 19 |
50% chance | Oct 22 |
60% chance | Oct 26 |
70% chance | Oct 30 |
80% chance | Nov 2 |
90% chance | Nov 7 |
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 17 |
20% chance | Oct 23 |
30% chance | Oct 28 |
40% chance | Nov 1 |
50% chance | Nov 4 |
60% chance | Nov 7 |
70% chance | Nov 11 |
80% chance | Nov 16 |
90% chance | Nov 22 |
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 30 |
20% chance | Nov 6 |
30% chance | Nov 12 |
40% chance | Nov 16 |
50% chance | Nov 20 |
60% chance | Nov 24 |
70% chance | Nov 28 |
80% chance | Dec 2 |
90% chance | Dec 8 |
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Nov 16 |
20% chance | Nov 23 |
30% chance | Nov 28 |
40% chance | Dec 1 |
50% chance | Dec 4 |
60% chance | Dec 8 |
70% chance | Dec 12 |
80% chance | Dec 17 |
90% chance | Dec 23 |
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Dec 1 |
20% chance | Dec 6 |
30% chance | Dec 10 |
40% chance | Dec 15 |
50% chance | Dec 19 |
60% chance | Dec 23 |
70% chance | Dec 27 |
80% chance | Jan 1 |
90% chance | Jan 8 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: FREEHOLD-MARLBORO (USC00283181)