The first 36ยฐF frost date is 30% likely to be on Oct 15. (See detailed probabilities below.)
The first 32ยฐF light freeze date is 30% likely to be on Oct 27. (See detailed probabilities below.)
(See also ๐ท Last Spring Frost Dates.)
First frost date probabilities for Belmar, NJ are based on historical climate data.
Always check your local forecast for the most up-to-date frost warnings.
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๐ Growing Under Cover: Techniques for a More Productive, Weather-Resistant, Pest-Free Vegetable Garden
The first fall frost signals the end of your local growing season. This date serves as an important deadline for gardeners and farmers. You'll need to complete harvesting before this point. Annuals and other tender plants will die back when frost hits, and perennial plants will enter their dormant phase for winter. Meanwhile, it's time to enjoy a cup of hot cocoa and a cozy sweaterโand start planning your spring garden!
Watch your local weather forecasts in early fall to predict the first frost date. Harvest tender crops and protect vulnerable plants before frost arrives. For late-summer plantings, count backward from your area's average first frost date. This ensures your crops have enough time to mature. Keep track of when frost actually occurs in your garden each year. This helps you identify protected spots where the growing season might last longer.
Probability of frost (36ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 6 |
20% chance | Oct 11 |
30% chance | Oct 15 |
40% chance | Oct 18 |
50% chance | Oct 21 |
60% chance | Oct 24 |
70% chance | Oct 27 |
80% chance | Oct 31 |
90% chance | Nov 4 |
Probability of light freeze (32ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 17 |
20% chance | Oct 23 |
30% chance | Oct 27 |
40% chance | Oct 31 |
50% chance | Nov 2 |
60% chance | Nov 5 |
70% chance | Nov 8 |
80% chance | Nov 12 |
90% chance | Nov 18 |
Probability of moderate freeze (28ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Oct 31 |
20% chance | Nov 5 |
30% chance | Nov 9 |
40% chance | Nov 13 |
50% chance | Nov 16 |
60% chance | Nov 20 |
70% chance | Nov 23 |
80% chance | Nov 27 |
90% chance | Dec 2 |
Probability of moderate hard freeze (24ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Nov 13 |
20% chance | Nov 18 |
30% chance | Nov 22 |
40% chance | Nov 26 |
50% chance | Nov 30 |
60% chance | Dec 2 |
70% chance | Dec 5 |
80% chance | Dec 10 |
90% chance | Dec 16 |
Probability of hard freeze (20ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Nov 24 |
20% chance | Dec 1 |
30% chance | Dec 4 |
40% chance | Dec 8 |
50% chance | Dec 12 |
60% chance | Dec 16 |
70% chance | Dec 20 |
80% chance | Dec 25 |
90% chance | Jan 1 |
Probability of severe hard freeze (16ยฐF) on or before... | |
---|---|
10% chance | Dec 6 |
20% chance | Dec 12 |
30% chance | Dec 18 |
40% chance | Dec 22 |
50% chance | Dec 27 |
60% chance | Dec 31 |
70% chance | Jan 3 |
80% chance | Jan 8 |
90% chance | Jan 17 |
Agricultural climatic data from weather station: LONG BRANCH OAKHURST (USC00284987)